
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases Gemini Ultra by January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a release accessible to the public (e.g. developers, public sign-ups, through Bard, etc.) will count for this market. This market will resolve as soon as it can be verified that Gemini Ultra has been released within timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:05:14 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.