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GDP growth in 2026
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$22
Total volume$86.2K
Liquidity$8K
Event end date · UTCJan 29, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<0.5%Accepting ordersMarket odds0.65%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Yes0.65%Polymarket estimate
No99.4%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 29, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.5¢ / 0.8¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.