
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the midpoint between bid and ask price on FTX claims (https://claims-market.com/) is greater than 75% by March 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if any midpoint before March 31 is greater than 75% this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." This market may only resolve to "No" once the final data point on or before March 31 is available on the chart. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cherokee Acquisition (https://claims-market.com/) however in the case this source becomes unavailable, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:36:17 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.