
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $2,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $3,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $3,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $4,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $4,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $5,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is greater than $10,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:07:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.