FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

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24h volume$686.9

Total volume$7.6K

Liquidity$12.1K

Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds3.6%

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Yes3.6%Polymarket estimate

No96.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $12.1K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 1, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 3.2¢ / 4.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain. The co-pilot was taken into custody in Saudi Arabia (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the referenced co-pilot is transported to Israeli custody within the territory of Israel between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The co-pilot must actually enter Israeli territory for this market to resolve to “Yes.” Announcements or statements of intent will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia and Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.