First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$1.6K

Liquidity$18.9K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Accepting ordersMarket odds95%

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?

Yes95%Polymarket estimate

No5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $18.9K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 94.0¢ / 96.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-01 House election.