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First place in California Senate Primary?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.1M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Adam SchiffClosedMarket odds100%
Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Update: This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate-term. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff gets first place in the Primary for United States Senator from California. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". First place means getting the most votes in the Primary. If no 2024 California Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.