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First FTX bankruptcy payout?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 30, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Q1ClosedMarket odds0%
Will FTX payouts start in Q1 2024?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.