
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura wins the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that Hikaru Nakamura will not be the winner of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to an end date after November 30, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/fide-grand-swiss-2023), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana wins the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that Fabiano Caruana will not be the winner of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to an end date after November 30, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/fide-grand-swiss-2023), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/3/2026, 10:07:09 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.