Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$643.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJan 8, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jan 8, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market. If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.