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Facebook outage caused by hack?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$14.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 10, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Facebook outage caused by hack?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 10, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the March 5 Facebook/Instagram/Messenger outage was caused by a hack by March 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the network outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government and Meta/Facebook/Instagram. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:11:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.