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United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 12 open questions · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volumeUnavailable
Liquidity$32.2
Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
AlpineAccepting ordersMarket odds49%
Will Alpine get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Yes49%Polymarket estimate
No51%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $2.5
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 31, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 2.0¢ / 96.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.