
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Colapinto finishes ahead of Gasly, this market will resolve to "Colapinto". If Gasly finishes ahead of Colapinto, this market will resolve to "Gasly". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Alonso finishes ahead of Stroll, this market will resolve to "Alonso". If Stroll finishes ahead of Alonso, this market will resolve to "Stroll". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Albon finishes ahead of Jr., this market will resolve to "Albon". If Jr. finishes ahead of Albon, this market will resolve to "Jr.". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Bortoleto finishes ahead of Hulkenberg, this market will resolve to "Bortoleto". If Hulkenberg finishes ahead of Bortoleto, this market will resolve to "Hulkenberg". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Perez finishes ahead of Bottas, this market will resolve to "Perez". If Bottas finishes ahead of Perez, this market will resolve to "Bottas". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Ocon finishes ahead of Bearman, this market will resolve to "Ocon". If Bearman finishes ahead of Ocon, this market will resolve to "Bearman". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Norris finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Norris". If Piastri finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Piastri". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell". If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hadjar, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". If Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hadjar". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Norris finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Norris". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Verstappen finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Piastri finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Piastri". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Russell finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Russell". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Norris finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Norris". If Verstappen finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Norris finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Norris". If Hamilton finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Norris finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Norris". If Russell finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Russell". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". If Hamilton finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Verstappen finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". If Piastri finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Piastri". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Verstappen finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Verstappen". If Russell finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Russell". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Hamilton finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". If Piastri finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Piastri". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Hamilton finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". If Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Russell". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Piastri finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Piastri". If Russell finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Russell". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Mexican Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Mexican Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/3/2026, 7:49:28 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.