
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Max Verstappen finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Lando Norris finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Charles Leclerc finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Carlos Sainz finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Oscar Piastri finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Lewis Hamilton finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any Formula 1 (F1) racer other than Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri, or Lewis Hamilton finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:30:29 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.