EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$114K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 97.8¢ / 99.8¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.