Ethena crash in 2024?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$314.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Ethena crash in 2024?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.