
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City, or otherwise ceases to be Mayor for any length of time, between September 11, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New York or official statements by Eric Adams or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:03:42 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.