
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn February 29 the FBI raided the apartment of a special advisor to Eric Adams: https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/29/fbi-raids-home-of-top-adams-aide-00144193. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mayor of New York City Eric Adams is charged with any crime between February 29, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the charging legal entity, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:26:52 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.