Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$117.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2026

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jan 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill extending or reinstating the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill may extend or reinstate the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues or reinstates enhanced premium tax credits which have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that will otherwise apply if the credits expire. A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify. If the bill is signed into law before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes," regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.