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Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026?
24h volume$37.3K
Total volume$52.2K
Liquidity$119.4K
Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
10 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<40Accepting orders16.5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
Yes16.5%
No83.5%
- Liquidity
- $7.5K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 5, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 16.0¢ / 17.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 3 12:00 PM ET to October 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.