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Electoral College Margin of Victory?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$116.2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
GOP by 215+ClosedMarket odds0%
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.