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El Salvador Presidential Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$194.9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Nayib BukeleClosedMarket odds100%
El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Nayib Bukele win?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $28.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 2, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nayib Bukele wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.