Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$6.5K

Liquidity$18.5K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds5.5%

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

Yes5.5%Polymarket estimate

No94.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $18.5K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 5.0¢ / 6.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.