
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for >1,000 Palestinian refugees by November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:17:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.