
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses less than $200,000,000 domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive). Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $200,000,000 (inclusive) and 250,000,000 (exclusive) domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive). Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $250,000,000 (inclusive) and 300,000,000 (inclusive) domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive). Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $300,000,000 domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive). Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 4:10:09 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.