
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Diddy is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Diddy is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Diddy to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:01:55 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.