Democratic Blitz primary?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$345.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJul 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Democratic Blitz primary?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jul 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.1¢ / 0.2¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democrats announce they will hold a blitz primary for the 2024 US Presidential Election, by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A blitz primary is defined as Joe Biden withdrawing from the race, and multiple candidates are given the chance to become the Democratic nominee for President of the United States in an open field. If it is widely reported that a mini/blitz primary will officially occur, this market will resolve to "Yes". It is only necessary that the primary be officially announced by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the primary occurs after. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic Party, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.