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DC Metrorail ridership on Inauguration Day
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$39.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 20, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<400kClosedMarket odds100%
Will there be less than 400k rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 20, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve based on the total number of Metrorail trips (rail only) recorded on January 20, 2025, as reported by the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA) on its ridership portal: https://www.wmata.com/initiatives/ridership-portal/daily-summary.cfm. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 400,000 Metrorail rides taken on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The ridership for Jan 20 will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for January 20 is not available by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".