Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$10.8

Liquidity$1.9K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028

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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?Accepting ordersMarket odds4.7%

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Yes4.7%Polymarket estimate

No95.3%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $1.9K
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.1¢ / 7.3¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether Dario Amodei is the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at that date and time. Only Dario Amodei's status at that moment will be considered. A resignation or removal followed by a return to the position before that moment will not affect resolution, and an announced resignation or removal that has not yet taken effect will not be considered. Dario Amodei will be considered Chief Executive Officer only if he holds the Chief Executive Officer title, including as co-Chief Executive Officer. Another role, such as executive chairman, without that title will not count. Anthropic's first trading day is the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading, as confirmed by official announcements from Anthropic and the relevant exchange. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dario Amodei and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.