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Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$70.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 7, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<15%ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Daniel Băluță get less than 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 7, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025. This market will resolve according to the percentage of votes received by the listed candidate in this by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. The percentage of votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes the listed candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote count has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.