Loading your workspace…
All markets
CZ sentenced to prison?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$109K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
CZ sentenced to prison?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Feb 13 it was announced the sentencing of Changpeng Zhao (CZ) in the ongoing case "United States v. Changpeng Zhao" would be postponed to April 30 (see https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/12/criminal-sentencing-of-binance-founder-cz-postponed-to-late-april-.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States v. Changpeng Zhao", by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.