
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 9 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in Test Match. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to whether play in the Test match between South Africa and Australia in Test Match reaches Day 3 under the competition's official playing conditions. The market will resolve Yes if play officially begins on Day 3. The market will resolve No if the match is completed, abandoned, canceled, or otherwise concludes under the playing conditions before any play begins on Day 3. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to whether play in the Test match between South Africa and Australia in Test Match reaches Day 4 under the competition's official playing conditions. The market will resolve Yes if play officially begins on Day 4. The market will resolve No if the match is completed, abandoned, canceled, or otherwise concludes under the playing conditions before any play begins on Day 4. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to whether play in the Test match between South Africa and Australia in Test Match reaches Day 5 under the competition's official playing conditions. The market will resolve Yes if play officially begins on Day 5. The market will resolve No if the match is completed, abandoned, canceled, or otherwise concludes under the playing conditions before any play begins on Day 5. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:32:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.