Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31? | Foretrace

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Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

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Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$4.1K

Liquidity$778.2

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds20.5%

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

Yes20.5%Polymarket estimate

No79.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $757
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 20.0¢ / 21.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas. You can read more about that here: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual for conduct that caused or contributed to the structural issues that prompted evacuations relating to this building between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.