
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase is in the top 100 free iPhone apps by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market specifically refers to the Coinbase app. The position of the Coinbase Wallet app in the Apple App Store has no bearing on the resolution to this market. The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:23:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
A research report should explain the odds, challenge the thesis, and show what could change the answer.
This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.