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China Annual Inflation 2026
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 7 eligible questions · Evidence required
24h volume$300.9
Total volume$102.7K
Liquidity$11.2K
Event end date · UTCJan 11, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
9 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<-1.0%Accepting ordersMarket odds2%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
Yes2%Polymarket estimate
No98.1%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 10, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.4¢ / 2.5¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/