
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any new tariffs on imports into Canada from China go into effect for any amount of time between February 28, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:00:10 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.