California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$833.9

Liquidity$215.2

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

California Rainy Day Fund PropositionAccepting ordersMarket odds70.6%

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

Yes70.6%Polymarket estimate

No29.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $215.2
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 47.5¢ / 93.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).