California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

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24h volume$8.8

Total volume$3K

Liquidity$2.5K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Market probability

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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

California Immunology Research Bond PropositionAccepting ordersMarket odds53.5%

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

Yes53.5%Polymarket estimate

No46.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $2.5K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 21.0¢ / 86.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Proposition 38 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow $8.4 billion in debt to research immune system-based technologies for treating conditions including cancer, heart disease and Alzheimer’s. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).