California Governor Election Winner

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:53:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.