Bolsonaro guilty?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$117.2K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Bolsonaro guilty?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 28, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On March 26, the Brazilian Supreme Court ruled that Jair Bolsonaro will stand charges for an attempted coup. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/26/world/americas/brazil-bolsonaro-trial-coup-2022-elections.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is found guilty of any charges related to the coup attempt by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bolsonaro's charges are dismissed, end due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or a mistrial is declared for the relevant charges, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.