Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$962.3

Total volume$20

Liquidity$25.3K

Event end date · UTCOct 3, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ETAccepting ordersMarket odds52.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET

Up52.5%Polymarket estimate

Down47.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $25.3K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 3, 2026
Up bid / ask: 52.0¢ / 53.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.