Bitcoin price 24 hours after halving?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$76.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 19, 2024

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Bitcoin price 24 hours after halving?

Higher100%Polymarket estimate

Lower0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 19, 2024
Higher bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Higher" if the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) is higher 24 hours after the time of the halving than it was at the time of the halving. This market will resolve to "Lower" if the price of $BTC is lower 24 hours after the time of the halving. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the price of $BTC is exactly the same 24 hours after the time of the halving. The price of $BTC at time of halving is defined herein as the "C" price (when the "Price" tab and "24h" is selected) listed on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT for the candle covering the 1 minute window during which the halving occurs. Note that the candles are titled and dated with the closing second, and cover the 1 minute preceding their title. This market will resolve according to the “C” (when the "Price" tab is selected and "1m" is selected, on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) listed for the candle exactly 24 hours after the candle containing the halving timestamp. For example, if the halving occurred within the 1 minute candle titled "2024/04/19 09:00:00", then the market will resolve based on the "C" price of the "2024/04/20 09:00:00" candle.