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Bitcoin price 1hr after ETF approval?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$125.1K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 15, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<40kClosedMarket odds0%
$BTC price <$40,000 1 hour after ETF approval?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $5.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 14, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT: If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is less than $40,000.00 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”