
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceSee a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 12:00:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.