Binance insolvent in 2023?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volume$0

Total volume$44.1K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Binance insolvent in 2023?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $131.2
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2023
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET that Binance.com is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if Binance.com withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No". This market only concerns Binance.com. Binance.us is not considered for this market. Binance.com withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from Binance (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from Binance, it will satisfy the condition.) If Binance.com suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on December 30, 2023, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (December 30, 2023 - January 6, 2024, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting.