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Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Bill Clinton is arrested between Jan 3 and Jan 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:04:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.