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Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$41.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2025
Price history
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Polymarket · UTC
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Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet of 1,000 words or more by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Threads do not aggregate. Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered. The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.