
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Edward Coristine (aka Big Balls) ceases to be an employee at the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) for any period of time between February 6 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Coristine's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolutions source will be official information from DOGE or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:02:52 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.