
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Trump" if CNN's opinion poll indicates Donald Trump won the CNN-hosted debate against Biden scheduled for June 27, 2024. This market will resolve to "Biden" if CNN's opinion poll indicates Joe Biden won the debate. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by July 11, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of CNN's first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If CNN does not release a poll, Ipsos's analogous poll will be used instead. If no polling information over who won or performed better in the debate is released by either source by July 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:04:57 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.