
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:54:05 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.